United States – The dollar boosted on Monday, December 12, after the data on December 9 displayed the United States or the US producer prices’ increase. The boost was more than the anticipated movement, which points to inflation.
The dollar climbed on December 9 after the increase in the US producer prices, which was more than the expectations of traders. The reason for the increase gets pointed to the continuing inflationary pressures, as well as the instance that the Fed or Federal Reserve might retain interest rates higher for quite some time in the Forex market.
The dollar increase was 0.35% over the Japanese yen, which was at 137.05. Compared to a basket of exchanges, the US dollar index gained 0.12% at 105.18. The euro dropped by 0.2% to $1.0509, and the Sterling dropped by 0.31% to $1.2229 on December 12. The Aussie bordered 0.24% lower to $0.6773 while the kiwi slid lower at 0.34% to $0.06393.
The producer price index of the US back in November increased 0.3% from October, and it also increased 7.4% compared to the performance a year ago. The data displayed a little positive surprise where it displayed increases of 0.2% and 7.2%, correspondingly,
According to Carol Kong, the Commonwealth Bank of Australia or CBA’s currency strategist, there were some concerns about how inflation would be constantly high. The behavior might encourage the Fed to keep strategy at a limiting level for a longer time.
Forex traders also stayed on edge in the run-up to important risk events this week, including the inflation data of the US and a trend of major central bank meetings.
The Fed took the center stage again, and it’s anticipated to increase interest rates by 50 basis points, yet the focus will be on the updated economic projections of the central bank, along with the press conference of Jerome Powell, the chairman of the Fed.
According to Kong, if the Fed chairman talks about the threats to the economy, she thinks that it will be considered pacifist by markets. She also stressed that markets enjoy dovish feedback.
ECB or European Central Bank and the Bank of England will also meet, where both are projected to deliver a rate hike of 50bp.
Kong stated that ECB officials told them that they worry more about the underlying inflation, which stayed elevated. If the hike reaches 50 bps, the officials could follow up with aggressive comments in post-meeting conferences.
The inflation figures of the US for November are due on December 13, Tuesday, where economists anticipate the annual inflation to be at 6.1%. The reaction of the market to the inflation surprises in the US was asymmetric in 022, in which downside revelations had the larger effect the positive ones.